Abstract
This paper proposes a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model that is implemented based on a rolling horizon scheme to solve an aggregate production planning decision problem of a manufacturing company that produces snacks in Monterrey, Mexico. The demand of the company is characterized by trends and seasonality. The proposed solution is evaluated by means of computational experiments to determine the relation between demand uncertainty and flexibility of a production system. A 2k factorial experimental design and a multivariate regression were performed. Results show forecast bias and length of frozen period in the rolling horizon have a strong effect on total profit. The safety stock level was also found to be a significant factor, depending on the level of bias.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Title of host publication | Production Research - 10th International Conference of Production Research - Americas, ICPR-Americas 2020, Revised Selected Papers |
Editors | Daniel Alejandro Rossit, Fernando Tohmé, Gonzalo Mejía Delgadillo |
Publisher | Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH |
Pages | 85-96 |
Number of pages | 12 |
ISBN (Print) | 9783030763060 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 2021 |
Event | 10th International Conference of Production Research - Americas, ICPR-Americas 2020 - Virtual, Online Duration: 9 Dec 2020 → 11 Dec 2020 |
Publication series
Name | Communications in Computer and Information Science |
---|---|
Volume | 1407 CCIS |
ISSN (Print) | 1865-0929 |
ISSN (Electronic) | 1865-0937 |
Conference
Conference | 10th International Conference of Production Research - Americas, ICPR-Americas 2020 |
---|---|
City | Virtual, Online |
Period | 9/12/20 → 11/12/20 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2021, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
Keywords
- Flexibility factors
- Forecast error
- Production planning
- Rolling horizon